Big Oil’s Production Keeps Soaring Despite Deep Spending Cuts

Some of the world’s largest oil and gas companies have adopted a new modus operandi ever since the historic oil price crash of 2020 devastated energy companies, prioritizing returning more cash to shareholders while expansion plans have been put on the back burner. Indeed, over the past five years, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), Chevron (NYSE:CVX), British Petroleum (NYSE:BP), Shell (NYSE:SHEL) and TotalEnergies (NYSE:TTE) have collectively spent more than $100 billion annually in dividends and buybacks, good for nearly 80% of their earnings. Hardly…

Market Context

Global crude oil markets remain sensitive to a combination of macroeconomic signals, OPEC+ production policy, and geopolitical developments across key producing regions. Brent crude and WTI serve as the primary price benchmarks, with spread movements reflecting regional supply-demand imbalances and refinery demand shifts.

Energy traders and analysts closely monitor inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), which releases weekly petroleum status reports that frequently move markets. Rising inventories typically signal demand weakness or oversupply, while draws support price recovery.

What to Watch

Analysts and traders will be watching upcoming EIA inventory reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and macroeconomic indicators — particularly U.S. Federal Reserve policy signals and China demand data — for directional cues on crude prices in the near term.